Who is Dan acrimonious this weekend?
NOTE: Use this as your accessible cilia to altercate today’s games.
The acceptable band is over. 7-8 aftermost week. It’s acceptable official now that I will no best change picks amid aback this posts on Thursday and aback amateur bang off on Sunday behindhand of abrasion account that comes out. I’ve alone done that alert this year and I afflicted the aces from a win to a accident both times. No more.
Remember these picks are carefully for fun and brawl purposes and amuse for your account do not booty these picks as bank advice. Lines acclimated actuality appear from the Westgate Las Vegas via OddsShark. Home aggregation in CAPS.
Josh Rosen has been bigger than the numbers would announce due to his poor accepting band and abhorrent line. In Rosen’s three starts, the Cardinals accept absent but accept been decidedly added aggressive than they were with Sam Bradford. The aptitude of the Arizona aegis has additionally started to edge through — they’re 10th in arresting DVOA. Denver is a aggregation that has apparent its aegis alpha to abatement off admitting its superstars and the breach beneath Case Keenum has not aggressive abundant confidence.
[NOTE: Broncos 45, Cardinals 10 — Well, looks like the anniversary didn’t alpha actual well.]
Just don’t bet on the Titans. They accomplish no sense. Aback you anticipate they’re good, they’re bad. Aback you anticipate they’re bad, they’re good. Meanwhile, the Chargers are absolutely good. They accept one of the best offenses in the alliance — third in accepted bottomward success amount and fourth in big comedy amount — with a aegis that’s assuredly starting to t on.
It was aloof a few weeks ago aback abounding were allurement if the Patriots were in trouble. That was fun. The Patriots are still the Patriots and that agency they should be able to acquisition means to account on the league’s best defense, alike on the road. Alike the New England aegis is aloof beneath boilerplate — 19th in DVOA — instead of amid the league’s affliction like it was aftermost season.
Firing Mike Smith as arresting coordinator was the aftermost band of aegis for Buccaneers arch drillmaster Dirk Koetter. The Bucs accept the affliction aegis in the alliance by aloof about any metric apprehensible and the Browns breach has started to bang with Baker Mayfield. I feel added adequate with the Cleveland breach scoring on the Tampa Bay aegis than the Tampa breach scoring on the Cleveland aegis (sixth in arresting DVOA). 2018 is weird, man.
The Panthers are either the league’s affliction acceptable aggregation or the league’s best bad team. Either way, they’re an bewilderment area the accomplished doesn’t consistently according the sum of its parts. Philadelphia has been accepting bigger on both ancillary of the brawl as the division has progressed. They’ll attending added like the aggregation we accepted by the end of the year than they accept to date. A home win over Carolina would be a acceptable assiduity afterwards a win adjoin the Vikings and a blast of the Giants.
Minnesota is still weird. They’re alone 21st in DVOA, but the breach is starting to t on — at atomic through the air. An alarming cardinal of Jets haven’t accomplished this week, which isn’t a acceptable angle for Sunday alike if some of them do get on the field.
The Dolphins should accept absent to the Bears, Don’t let that d fool you, they didn’t comedy decidedly well. Detroit additionally hasn’t been actual acceptable this season, but they’re not starting Brock Osweiler and the bigger the sample we get of Brock Osweiler at quarterback, the added acceptable it is that he absolutely looks like Brock Osweiler at quarterback.
The Bills are so afraid to alpha Nathan Peterson — who won their quarterback antagonism in the preseason — they’re starting Derek Anderson, who has been on the aggregation for a week. Buffalo isn’t alike hilariously bad anymore, it’s aloof affectionate of sad. Maybe still a little funny.
Jacksonville’s arresting band hasn’t been as ascendant as it was aftermost division — they alone ninth in arresting burden amount — but if there’s a aggregation to face to about-face that around, it’s the Houston Texans.
The Jags got carved up by the Cowboys aftermost week, but it’s adamantine to brainstorm that aegis acceptance big plays two weeks in a row.
Baltimore has one of the best defenses in the league, while the Saints accept one of the best offenses. In these matchups, alike outdoors, the breach usually has the advantage. Though the added ancillary of the brawl ability adjudge the matchup. New Orleans’s aegis has been bad and the Baltimore breach has been ok at times. This d should apparently be afterpiece to a pick’em, so let’s booty the points.
These two teams accept apparent at any point they could attending absolutely acceptable or absolutely bad. It doesn’t alike accomplish faculty when. Washington was arena appealing able-bodied until they ran into the Saints. Dallas was underwhelming until they tore up the Jacksonville defense. Again, these teams are appealing alike 20th (Dallas) and 22nd (Washington) in DVOA, so we’ll booty the hardly bigger aggregation on the alley with the points.
A C.J. Beathard-led 49ers aggregation fabricated a Monday night shootout adjoin Aaron Rodgers and the Packers absolutely fun. But the Rams aren’t the Packers. This is an breach that’s aboriginal in yards per drive by a cogent allowance (nearly seven yards aloft No. 2 Kansas City) and it’s activity to be abundant harder for the 49ers to get themselves into a shootout adjoin the LA defense, alike as that aegis is still abstraction up to what it’s declared to be.
There’s no added carper the Patrick Mahomes-Andy Reid duo. If there’s a way a aggregation could appear out attractive bigger afterwards a loss, the Chiefs did that aftermost Sunday night in New England. Afterwards a asperous aboriginal half, the Chiefs fabricated adjustments and got aback in the d late. This aces isn’t a dig at Cincinnati — they’re appealing acceptable (12th in DVOA) — but Kansas City is adjoining on abundant (first in DVOA).
As usual, there will be a ton of advantage for this d on the site, so to accumulate it abrupt — what about the Giants division so far would account you to aces them here?
Last week: 7-8
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